April 22, 2014
One of the recurring themes the western media regurgitates at every opportunity is that while the western “diplomatic” sanctions against Russia are clearly a joke, one thing that will severely cripple the economy is the capital market embargo that has struck Russian companies, which are facing $115 billion of debt due over the next 12 months.
Recall that not a single Russian Eurobond issue has successfully priced since Russia’s peaceful annexation of Crimea. Surely there is no way Russia can afford to let its major corporations – the nexus of its petroleum trade – go insolvent, which is why Putin will have to restrain himself and beg western investors to come back and chase appetiziing Russian yields (with other people’s money of course). Turns out this line of thought is completely wrong.
Russian companies, facing $115 billion of debt due over the next 12 months, will have the funds even as bond markets shut because of the Ukraine crisis,according to Moody’s Investors Service and Fitch Ratings.